Non-farm payrolls use to be the most market moving economic indicator for the US dollar, but this is no longer true. Back in April of 2005, we published a report using 2004 data that ranked non-farm payrolls as the single piece of economic data that caused the biggest average daily movement for the US dollar […]
Most Market Moving
Non-farm payrolls use to be the most market moving economic indicator for the US dollar, but this is no longer true. Back in April of 2005, we published a report using 2004 data that ranked non-farm payrolls as the single piece of economic data that caused the biggest average daily movement for the US dollar during that year. We have now updated the tahlil by looking at the impact of economic data on currency prices between June 2005 and June 2006. The latest report indicates that the ISM or Institute of Supply Management’s index of manufacturing sentiment actually surpassed the non-farm payrolls as the market moving indicator for the US dollar over the past 12 months. The changes that we have seen in the rankings are primarily due to the shifts in the economic cycle,changes to major market themes and the Federal Reserve’s greater emphasis on inflation. Regardless of whether you are a fundamental or a technical trader, knowing which economic data can cause the biggest shifts in the markets is extremely important.Depending upon your specific trading strategy, it will help you to decide when to be in the markets and when to stay out.