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Hypothesis Moving average crossover systems can make more money than a “buy and hold” (BAH) strategy. Method To test this hypothesis, we run studies using a hypothetical million dollar portfolio investing in the most heavily-traded security in the world, the QQQQ (Q) shares, from their IPO in 1990 through 2004, a period of fifteen years […]
Optimal MA Crossovers
Hypothesis Moving average crossover systems can make more money than a "buy and hold" (BAH) strategy. Method To test this hypothesis, we run studies using a hypothetical million dollar portfolio investing in the most heavily-traded security in the world, the QQQQ (Q) shares, from their IPO in 1990 through 2004, a period of fifteen years encompassing both a significant bull and bear market, as well as trendless periods. We test various combinations of moving averages and note when the averages cross. Each time the short-term average crosses above the long-term average, we buy the Q shares with all available cash . When the short-term average crosses below the long-term average, we sell the Q shares and hold cash.
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